I (Matt) have really enjoyed reading Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Phillip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner. It's a fun book for taking a dive into forecasting .
I enjoyed reading about how forecasters related to weather, politics, stocks, etc. are often considered professionals even though they may actually be amateurs. I also liked learning about how even though these people are often very bad or unreliable at forecasting, it is in many ways a skill that can be learned. While it definitely leans more towards pop-science than going academically deep into the presented topic, I feel like I learned some new information from this book.
I do wish there was less fluff and I often found myself wishing for deeper analysis of the years of research the authors kept referencing.
If you enjoy books like Moneyball or Freakonomics then I would recommend this book to you.
**I received this book from Blogging for Books for free.**